So far, neither side has officially accepted China's proposal that the US freeze its joint military drills with South Korea in exchange for North Korea suspending nuclear and missile tests. In that sense, entering peace talks would itself qualify as an achievement. The evolution of this confrontation tells us that as long as the door for negotiations is open, tensions can be controlled and the North's nuclear programme is less likely to be accelerate. Remember, five of the North's six nuclear tests took place when there was a setback in talks or no talks at all. Once the car is on the road, progress will become easier. The parties should be confident that, as with a car that's been idle for too long, just getting discussions started is the hardest part. China can only encourage the two sides to talk. The North Koreans regard the US as the central threat to their survival - so only the US can address their security concerns. All of this has only made the North even more determined to cling to its nuclear weapons. The United Nations Security Council has adopted 10 sanctions resolutions that have almost entirely halted North Korea's foreign trade.
Since the North's first nuclear test in 2006, annual US-South Korea military exercises have reached a scale unseen since the end of the Vietnam War. That choice has prompted the US to intensify its own threats. Having lost confidence in gaining security through dialogue, it's pinned its hopes on developing a full-fledged nuclear capability. In its years of back and forth with the US, North Korea has concluded that America's only real goal is to bring down its government. If the North deserves blame for reneging on its 2005 pledge to abandon all nuclear weapons, the US, too, undermined trust with financial sanctions on Macau-based Banco Delta Asia just as the parties had begun to implement the agreement. Those all collapsed as well because of lack of good faith on both sides. After 2003, the Six-Party Talks managed to reach several more important agreements. The 1994 Agreed Framework - in which the North agreed to abandon its nuclear programme in exchange for heavy fuel and light-water reactors provided by the US and its allies - fell apart because neither side fully honoured the deal. Confronted with a US military presence across the border - not to mention the nuclear shield extended to South Korea - the North has, over the years, wavered between pursuing talks to win security guarantees and developing nuclear weapons for self-protection. Though more than 60 years have passed since the end of the Korean War, there's still only an armistice agreement in place on the peninsula, not a peace treaty between warring parties. Looking back at the history of this dispute, North Korea has several reasons to feel insecure. Ignoring this reality will only return the situation to the vicious cycle of provocation and retaliation which has dominated the nuclear standoff for so long. Weak nations, too, deserve their dignity and won't long abide being denied it. As such, the responsibility falls on America to show greater foresight - and empathy - towards its smaller rival. The US is the relatively stronger and more capable party in this dispute. To make progress, both sides need to try harder. The US has added yet more sanctions, provoking yet another angry response from the North. Meanwhile, the North Koreans have no intention of surrendering the relative security which they believe their nuclear programme has ensured. The US insists that the North Koreans demonstrate their sincerity and peaceable intentions by offering to negotiate away their nuclear arsenal.
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How to start those discussions is the question, as both are trying to portray any meeting as a victory for their uncompromising strategy. It's not in anyone's interest - America's least of all - that it should soon dissolve.Įven though US and North Korean representatives refused to meet at the Games, despite sitting metres away from one another, both sides have indicated directly or through South Korea that they're open to talks. Now that the winter Olympic Games in South Korea have ended, it's unclear how long the recent diplomatic thaw on the Korean Peninsula will last.
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